COP1603 December

Closing the doors in Cancun, or how transparency is gone

Sergio Abranches

How the physical environment is segregating the key players of global climate politics, and decisively influencing the way negotiations take place at COP16. More »

Analysis, COP1624 November

Shifting contexts: why effective action on climate change will be delayed

Sergio Abranches

Politics and climate are often at odds with each other. The best scientific evidence shows a continuous and accelerating trend towards climate change. Each year of inaction represents higher costs in the future. More »

Analysis, COP1612 November

Will the G20 help Cancun to succeed?

Sergio Abranches

The leaders of the G20 have pledged that they “will spare no effort to reach a balanced and successful outcome in Cancun.” Will this really come through? More »

COP1507 December

From diplomacy to realpolitik: a likely route for COP15

From diplomacy to realpolitik: a likely route for COP15

Several days of diplomatic maneuvering, lobbying and arm-wrestling could pave the way for the heads of states to seal a political deal after 12 days of strenuous conversations and off-the-record conspiring.

Sergio Abranches, from Copenhagen More »

COP1504 December

The Big Deal: Breaking the deadlock on global climate change politics

The Copenhagen climate summit could end by breaking a decade long deadlock that has been blocking any real progress on global climate change politics and policy. If that happens, this outcome should not be underrated.

Sergio Abranches More »

Analysis15 November

Can the US Congress set the global climate change agenda?

APEC has become the opportunity for the US to try to recast the expectations about Copenhagen. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had already forewarned that the US was “100-percent committed to creating a framework agreement, not a legally binding treaty.”

Sergio Abranches More »