Sergio Abranches

Manuel is an investment banker from Mozambique. He runs an investment and private equity company with stakes in pratically all sectors of almost all African countries. He moved from Mozambique to Namibia, where he lives. So far all his company’s investment were financed with its own capital. No leveraging. He is in a strategic position that gives him a broader and yet deep view of what is going on in Africa. We’ve met recently at an event on global sustainable logistics and had a long conversation about China’s involvement in the region. He asked me to have our talk off the records, for understandable reasons, that’s why I don’t write his full name. Our chat was in Portuguese our common language.

“Africa is being dominated by China”, he told me. “It is a voracious and predatory investor.” China is primarily interested in mineral resources of all sorts, and this is shortening the view of governments and reducing the prospects for a true development of Africa. Governments like investments in mining very much. They yield high tax and royalties revenues, without any cost or collateral. The companies even build the necessary infrastructure for mineral logistics. It is also a type of activity that induces a lot of corruption. They are “infertile investments” they don’t generate progress. They have no inducement effect, they don’t promote new investment downstream, they are not interested in the diversification of economic activity. After the ore is gone, they leave the holes behind and go after other sources. The power elite is satisfied with its pockets full of money. “No benefits for the people.” Governments are replacing development plans with a policy of mineral licensing.

Another area of strong Chinese interest is timber, says Manuel. Deforestation with Chinese money is rampant. “But, alas, China is an irresistible power in Africa, we need to learn how to deal with China,” he adds. To understand the Chinese, and be able to anticipate its moves, and learn how to deal with it, his group opened offices in Beijing and Shanghai. They’re even investing in China. At the same time they are looking for cooperation with Brazilian and South African corporations. He thinks that development in Africa will have to turn these three powers into positive forces for the region’s progress: China, Brazil and South Africa.

He came to this traditional global event in Brazil to look for scientific expertise in two areas his group is investing heavily in Africa: logistics and energy. He is very interested in wind and PV (photovoltaic) solar power. I can’t understand why Brazil has not become a major player in wind and solar research and development. We are very interested. Africa, like Brazil has a great potential in these two sources of renewable energy. China is becoming a major player. “With the huge potential for wind and solar power generation in Brazil it is a pity, and a great waste of opportunity not to investment to assume a leading role in this market.” I couldn’t agree more.

Manuel is the face of the new Africa trying to emerge from the wreackage of civil wars, bad, tyrannical and corrupt governance that led to an awful degree of social degradation. There are many like him, he tells me. “We are all striving to change Africa and going through hard times still dealing with very corrupt regimes.”

It is clear that to prosper in Africa to have good relations with local governments is a necessary condition. Good relations in many countries still depend on bribe. “Corruption is everywhere. It is a shame, but there is no place in Africa free of corruption.”

Would he not speak portuguese, be called Manuel and be a black man, he could be taken for any contemporary young investment banker from Wall Street or the City, running the world in search of the best profit opportunities. But Manuel is not a regular investment banker, he is different, not only because of his language, his name and the color of his skin. He does run the world, but looking for knowledge, expertise, and technology, and not only for his company. He has an African dream. He wants Africa as a whole to prosper with the assets he brings home. He is always interested and concerned about Africa. Another distinctive trait that differentiates him even from other Africans: he looks at Africa as a whole, beyond borders, and beyond tribal divisions, just Africa.

Perhaps this is the appropriate 21^st century view for his land. An integrated and unified Africa, that takes its diversity into account, and knows that no part will be fully developed if the whole is not equally developed. That there will be no durable and fair progress while corruption and violence dominates Africa. He is not looking for Africa as a single nation, but he dreams of a true African Union.

Sérgio Abranches

If history will repeat itself again in Haiti, the country runs the risk of plunging into deep social regression. It is on the verge of a dreadful state of nature. A state where people are led by instinct, fed by pain, anger, despair, and distrust.

History is not fate, or destiny. It is the result of social forces interacting with natural factors. Ramsey Clark alerts that “the history of Haiti will break your heart.” Brazilians use to sing Caetano Veloso’s 1980‘s song Haiti, where he asks: “think about Haiti, pray for Haiti.”

Haiti’s history has been an intercourse between human predators and brutal natural forces. Exploitation, isolation, occupation, the imposition of heavy reparations, hurricanes, earthquakes and tsunamis have devastated the country’s right to a civilized future since the beginning of colonial rule.

Its native population was decimated in less than three decades after Columbus set foot on Hispaniola Island. The natives were replaced by African slaves. Haiti paid a double and unbearable price for its Independence War. As Clark wrote:

Haiti lay in ruins, nearly half its population lost. The African slaves of Haiti had defeated the army of Napoleon Bonaparte. The 12-year war for liberation had destroyed most of the irrigation systems and machinery that, with slave labor, had created France’s richest colony and were the foundation of the island’s economy.

After Independence, in 1804, came isolation. The economies of the Americas were built on slavery. European nations were colonial powers. No nation wanted to legitimate an order born of slave revolt for freedom, or colonial rebellion. The United States would only recognize the independent republic after Civil War rid the country of its slave system, in 1862. Slavery was only abolished in Brazil in 1888, 66 years after its independence from Portugal.

The wealthier landowners who had not left Haiti after heavy losses from the destruction of coffee, cocoa, cotton and tobacco plantations, or were not killed during the Independence War, fled the island before the French surrender, or with the French troops.

Fear of the virus of black insurrection turned the “Pearl of the Caribbean” into the pariah of the Americas. Isolation was a greater price to pay for rebellion than lives lost and a devastated economy. It gave the poor island no means for recovery. Its connections with world markets were severed. The US would only allow limited trade before official recognition. Haiti desperately needed economic integration with the rest of the world. Its only source of revenue were tradable commodities (sugar, cotton, coffee, cocoa, tobacco). It lacked capital, and would not attract investors. Access to the French market would only be opened to Haiti after the country agreed to pay a heavy – and mostly illegitimate – indemnity for seized land.

After isolation, came occupation. The US occupied Haiti for 19 years, from 1915 to 1934. It left the country poorer than when the marines took over the Island.

Unemployed Haitians,looking for jobs, had moved to the Dominican Republic during occupation. The Dominican dictator Rafael Trujillo presided over a genocidal racist campaign against black Haitians. As many as 40,000 were killed.

After foreign abuse, came brutal domestic oppression. The two Duvaliers, Papa Doc and Baby Doc, and their Tonton Macoutes established a murderous reign of terror, exploitation and corruption. It lasted for 30 years, most of the time with the formal or informal support of Western Nations, the US in particular.

As late as 2003 the US, the European Union and multilateral banks were withholding $500 million in aid and loans because, they said, Aristide’s government failed to reach a compromise with opposition parties which boycotted the elections. Again the threat of sanctions and isolation was used against the poor Haitians on political grounds.

What about natural forces? Haiti is geographically a disaster prone location. When natural risk is evaluated against the social frailties of the Island, it becomes a tragedy prone country.

Hurricanes were unknown to Europeans venturing in the Caribbean seas for the first time. Christopher Columbus met his first near Hispaniola in 1495 and was startled by its violence. During colonial times tropical storms and hurricanes devastated plantations throughout the Caribbean. The heavier losses were incurred by the more valued and demanding plantations of coffee, cotton, cocoa and tobacco. Sugar cane plantations were also destroyed, but their shorter cultivation cycle allowed landowners to resume production sooner, at lower investment cost. This explains to a considerable extent the trend towards monoculture. It also led many wealthier plantation owners to migrate with the cash results of their production. Hence the progressive reduction on the size of landed properties and the impoverishment of the landed elite. An impoverished elite, eager to extract the most from its land on the shorter span of time possible, meant more exploitation of slave labor, greater violence and absence of any concern for the welfare of slaves and the non-elite. Growing poverty and dispossession resulted from the climatic hardships of the plantation economy.

Extensive plantation and the search for safer locations led to deforestation. Hispaniola had an immense wealth of biodiversity when it was discovered. All this wealth was lost with almost total deforestation. Deforestation increased the island vulnerability do extreme climate.

In short, since colonial times Haitians were victims of a merciless cycle of misery caused by the interplay of human violence, environmental degradation and severe natural phenomena.

Deforestation, lack of adequate emergency service and poor infrastructure also help to explain the recent history of extreme natural events making human tragedy to be reenacted time and again in Haiti.

In 1935, a storm killed more than 2000 people. In 1946, an 8.1 magnitude earthquake was registered in Hispaniola. Although centered in the Dominican Republic it also affected Haiti extensively. In 1954, hurricane Hazel killed people, destroyed 40 per cent of the coffee trees and 50 per cent of the cacao crop. In 1963 hurricane Flora killed 8000 people. In 1994, hurricane Gordon wiped out 80% of the crops of the country. In 2004 tropical storm Jeanne provoked extensive flooding and landslides, killing 2,500 people and displacing thousands more. In 2008 Haiti was hit by four different hurricanes – Fay, Gustav, Hanna and Ike – in the space of 30 days: 800 people died, 60 per cent of the country’s agriculture were devastated, and entire cities became desolate and uninhabitable.

“Today, we are all Haitians”, New York Times columnist Nicolas Kristof (@nickkristof ) twitted from New York City, CNN anchor Kristie Lu Stout (@klustout) retwitted from Hong Kong, and O Globo columnist Míriam Leitão (@MiriamLeitaoCom), re-retwitted from Rio de Janeiro. It remains to be seen for how long we’ll keep Haiti on our hearts and minds.

I fear we will forget the Haitian tragedy in a few months. The country will fail to get aid on the amount required to rebuilt its cities appropriately. People will not get safer and better homes. Infrastructure will not be recovered and improved. Emergency service will not be provided. Risk areas will continue to be occupied and unattended.

The best case scenario, alas an unlikely one, would be an unprecedented success story of world solidarity to Haitians. Haiti wouldn’t be forgotten. The world would give back to its people through unconditional and unprejudiced aid part of the wealth it transferred to richer nations. The Haitian children, half of its population, would get good, unprejudiced education. Quality education would enable young Haitians to take the best of its cultural tradition, acquire the knowledge to become good active citizens and get qualified to lead the country to a civilized life sometime in the 21^st century.

Let me finish with Ramsey Clark’s whole phrase on Haiti’s history.

The history of Haiti will break your heart. Knowing it, the weak will despair, but the caring will strive to break the chains of tragedy.