Analysis27 November

The Copenhagen climate summit gains political muscle, but still lacks scientific substance

The last round of pre-COP15 announcements by countries pivotal to closing a firm deal in Copenhagen have added political weight to a summit that was about to wither away. COP15 seemed to be about to flop, particularly after the unfortunate joint US-China statement in Singapore, during the APEC meeting.

Sergio Abranches More »

Analysis15 November

Can the US Congress set the global climate change agenda?

APEC has become the opportunity for the US to try to recast the expectations about Copenhagen. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had already forewarned that the US was “100-percent committed to creating a framework agreement, not a legally binding treaty.”

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Op-Ed06 November

Will Copenhagen flop or cope? There is still hope.

With Barcelona just waiting for the final plenary session, all hopes of a breakthrough seem to have already vanished.

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Feature12 October

The emerging powers behind G77 should admit they belong to a different league

When Cop 10 failed in Buenos Aires, December 2004, there were two culprits for the deadlock of climate change negotiations: the US and G77. Bangkok ended deadlocked last September. The main agents leading to the standoff were the US and G77. The US, however, had completely changed its attitude towards a global climate change deal.

Sergio Abranches More »

Analysis04 October

Is it too late to reach a climate deal in Copenhagen?

The countdown to COP15 in Copenhagen tells me, at the moment of writing, we have only 63 days left to pave the way to seal a safe deal. It seems impossible. Is it really?

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Op-Ed28 September

There is some hope for a climate deal in Copenhagen

But the odds against an effective deal are increasing. The NYC Climate Summit and the G20 meeting did not break the deadlock. Negotiators are working on a raft agreement in Bangkok this week. Meanwhile the UN has released the latest draft.

Sergio Abranches

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